Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad B win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad B win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
