Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 35.52%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.35%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (12.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
