Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 59.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.61%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Fuenlabrada win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
