Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Fuenlabrada win was 1-0 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huesca would win this match.
