Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 42.93%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Girona had a probability of 28.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Zaragoza in this match.
