Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 44.83%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 26.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
