There has not been a single draw in the last 15 Serie A fixtures between these sides - 10 wins for Fiorentina; five for Venezia - and a first since March 1947 is not on the cards this weekend. Contrasting the Viola's ability to find goals from all over their squad with visitors who are only just into double figures for away goals this term, it is clear who should emerge with maximum points at the Franchi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 76.46%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 7.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.04%) and 3-0 (11.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Venezia
76.46%	15.66%	7.88%

Both teams to score 41.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.14%

42.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.73%

65.27%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.57%

9.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.31%

31.69%

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.91%

54.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.67%

87.33%

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 76.45%

Venezia 7.88%

Draw 15.66%

Fiorentina	Draw	Venezia
2-0 @ 14.22% 1-0 @ 12.04% 3-0 @ 11.19% 2-1 @ 8.74% 3-1 @ 6.88% 4-0 @ 6.61% 4-1 @ 4.06% 5-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.11% 5-1 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.25% 6-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.08% Total : 76.45%	1-1 @ 7.4% 0-0 @ 5.1% 2-2 @ 2.69% Other @ 0.47% Total : 15.66%	0-1 @ 3.13% 1-2 @ 2.27% 0-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.51% Total : 7.88%