Bologna have dropped eight points from winning positions in Serie A this season, and their confidence must be low after slipping up last week, then being beaten in Birmingham.
Therefore, hit-and-miss Milan are well-placed to take advantage of their hosts' woes and secure a third straight win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%).
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