Though it took a fightback from behind to win 3-2 in September's reverse fixture, Juventus should have no such problems on Sunday, as they approach this encounter in far better form. Even accounting for a series of absences in the home side's squad, only Venezia have faced more shots on target than Spezia in Serie A this season, while city rivals Torino are the only team to have conceded fewer than Juve - indicating the probable outcome of this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 79.07%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 7.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.9%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Spezia
79.07%	13.57%	7.36%

Both teams to score 46.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.48%

34.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.54%

56.46%

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.08%

6.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.6%

25.4%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.39%

49.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.62%

84.38%

Score Analysis

Juventus 79.06%

Spezia 7.36%

Draw 13.57%

Juventus	Draw	Spezia
2-0 @ 12.24% 3-0 @ 10.9% 1-0 @ 9.17% 2-1 @ 8.59% 3-1 @ 7.65% 4-0 @ 7.28% 4-1 @ 5.11% 5-0 @ 3.89% 5-1 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-2 @ 1.79% 6-0 @ 1.73% 6-1 @ 1.22% 5-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.14% Total : 79.06%	1-1 @ 6.43% 0-0 @ 3.43% 2-2 @ 3.01% Other @ 0.7% Total : 13.57%	0-1 @ 2.41% 1-2 @ 2.25% Other @ 2.7% Total : 7.36%