Having shipped 50 league goals already, Spezia are not the most defensively sound side, but their opponents have often failed to deliver in the final third.
Neither team is likely to keep a clean sheet, so these two relegation rivals will share the spoils with a score draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
