SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 58.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Como had a probability of 19.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Como |
58.13% ( -0.46) | 22.51% ( 0.26) | 19.36% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 52.21% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.46% ( -0.83) | 46.54% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.18% ( -0.79) | 68.82% ( 0.78) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.29% ( -0.44) | 15.71% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.21% ( -0.81) | 44.79% ( 0.81) |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.95% ( -0.27) | 38.05% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.18% ( -0.26) | 74.82% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Como |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.32% Total : 58.11% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.51% | 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.43% Total : 19.36% |
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