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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
U-Power Stadium
FL

Monza
2 - 1
Fiorentina

Ciurria (44'), Maldini (63')
Turati (61'), Pereira (76'), Bondo (87'), Ciurria (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Beltran (74' pen.)
Ranieri (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 1-2 Cagliari
Sunday, January 5 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 0-3 Napoli
Saturday, January 4 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Monza 1-2 Fiorentina

Fiorentina can kickstart their campaign with a win against Serie A's last-placed club, who must be low on confidence. Though the Viola have started to leak goals, they still have enough nous to score more than once, earning them three valuable points in the race for European places. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 54.29%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Monza had a probability of 20.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.71%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Monza win it was 1-0 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
MonzaDrawFiorentina
20.67% (-0.477 -0.48) 25.04% (0.311 0.31) 54.29% (0.165 0.16)
Both teams to score 46.68% (-1.517 -1.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.06% (-1.671 -1.67)54.94% (1.67 1.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.78% (-1.4 -1.4)76.22% (1.399 1.4)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.51% (-1.459 -1.46)41.48% (1.459 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.01% (-1.309 -1.31)77.98% (1.308 1.31)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.78% (-0.589 -0.59)20.22% (0.588 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.46% (-0.95 -0.95)52.54% (0.94799999999999 0.95)
Score Analysis
    Monza 20.67%
    Fiorentina 54.27%
    Draw 25.03%
MonzaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 7.38% (0.185 0.19)
2-1 @ 5.19% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-0 @ 3.25% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.52% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.22% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-0 @ 0.95% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 20.67%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.39% (0.53 0.53)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.217 -0.22)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 25.03%
0-1 @ 13.4% (0.61 0.61)
0-2 @ 10.71% (0.3 0.3)
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-3 @ 5.71% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.03% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-4 @ 2.28% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.159 -0.16)
1-4 @ 2.01% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 54.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Monza 1-2 Cagliari
Sunday, January 5 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 2-1 Monza
Saturday, December 28 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-2 Juventus
Sunday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Monza
Sunday, December 15 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-2 Udinese
Monday, December 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 4-0 Monza
Tuesday, December 3 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Fiorentina 0-3 Napoli
Saturday, January 4 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 2-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, December 29 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-2 Udinese
Monday, December 23 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, December 19 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, December 15 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 7-0 LASK
Thursday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Conference League


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