Only Salernitana and Cagliari have registered fewer clean sheets than Venezia and Sassuolo (both three) in Serie A this season, so a goalless draw is certainly not on the cards at the Penzo. Despite shifting shape and personnel, the home side have failed to find a method which keeps the back door shut and are far less prolific at the other end. In addition to their modest home record to date, that all adds up to a loss for the Lagunari. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.85%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Venezia win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
Venezia	Draw	Sassuolo
29.81%	22.48%	47.71%

Both teams to score 64.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.17%

35.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.09%

57.91%

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.28%

23.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.15%

57.85%

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.54%

15.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.67%

44.32%

Score Analysis

Venezia 29.81%

Sassuolo 47.71%

Draw 22.48%

Venezia	Draw	Sassuolo
2-1 @ 7.09% 1-0 @ 5.28% 2-0 @ 3.8% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.89% Total : 29.81%	1-1 @ 9.85% 2-2 @ 6.62% 0-0 @ 3.67% 3-3 @ 1.97% Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.48%	1-2 @ 9.2% 0-1 @ 6.85% 0-2 @ 6.39% 1-3 @ 5.72% 2-3 @ 4.12% 0-3 @ 3.98% 1-4 @ 2.67% 2-4 @ 1.92% 0-4 @ 1.86% 1-5 @ 1% 3-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.1% Total : 47.71%