Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 54.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Parma had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brescia in this match.
