Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 56.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Alessandria had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for an Alessandria win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Parma	Draw	Alessandria
56.48%	22.72%	20.8%

Both teams to score 53.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.51%

45.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.18%

67.81%

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.09%

15.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.86%

45.14%

Alessandria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.05%

35.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.27%

72.72%

Score Analysis

Parma 56.48%

Alessandria 20.8%

Draw 22.71%

Parma	Draw	Alessandria
1-0 @ 10.51% 2-1 @ 9.89% 2-0 @ 9.66% 3-1 @ 6.06% 3-0 @ 5.92% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 2.79% 4-0 @ 2.72% 4-2 @ 1.43% 5-1 @ 1.03% 5-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.38% Total : 56.48%	1-1 @ 10.75% 0-0 @ 5.72% 2-2 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.71%	0-1 @ 5.85% 1-2 @ 5.5% 0-2 @ 2.99% 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.84% Total : 20.8%