Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 49.63%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
