Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crotone win with a probability of 40%. A win for Parma had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crotone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
