Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vicenza win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Parma had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vicenza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.