Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 44.77%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 27.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
