Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 44.77%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 27.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Como	Draw	SPAL
44.77%	27.89%	27.34%

Both teams to score 45.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.05%

59.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.8%

80.19%

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.3%

26.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.04%

61.95%

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.96%

38.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.19%

74.8%

Score Analysis

Como 44.77%

SPAL 27.34%

Draw 27.88%

Como	Draw	SPAL
1-0 @ 13.41% 2-0 @ 8.86% 2-1 @ 8.56% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-1 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.93% Total : 44.77%	1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.88%	0-1 @ 9.82% 1-2 @ 6.27% 0-2 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.63% Total : 27.34%