Lecce
3 - 1
Ascoli

Rodriguez (24'), Coda (56', 90+5' pen.)
Johann Helgason (25'), Tuia (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ricci (70')
Bellusci (33'), Salvi (39')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Lecce and Ascoli.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 63.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 16.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Ascoli
63.25%	20.62%	16.14%

Both teams to score 52.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.46%

43.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.06%

65.94%

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.88%

13.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.22%

39.78%

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.96%

40.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.31%

76.69%

Score Analysis

Lecce 63.24%

Ascoli 16.14%

Draw 20.62%

Lecce	Draw	Ascoli
2-0 @ 10.83% 1-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 7.34% 3-1 @ 6.71% 4-0 @ 3.72% 4-1 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 3.07% 4-2 @ 1.56% 5-0 @ 1.51% 5-1 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.11% Total : 63.24%	1-1 @ 9.77% 0-0 @ 5.26% 2-2 @ 4.54% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.62%	0-1 @ 4.81% 1-2 @ 4.47% 0-2 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.39% 1-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.91% Total : 16.14%