Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 57%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 19.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Pordenone Calcio win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ascoli in this match.
