Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alessandria win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alessandria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Pordenone Calcio win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alessandria would win this match.
