Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crotone win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crotone win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Pordenone Calcio win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
