Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Vicenza had a probability of 13.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.18%), while for a Vicenza win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
