Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Parma had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
Perugia	Draw	Parma
41.43% ( -2.34)	28.79% ( 0.2)	29.78% ( 2.14)

Both teams to score 44.29% (

0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.01% (

0.13)

61.99% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.27% (

0.1)

81.73% (

-0.09)

Perugia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.52% (

-1.22)

29.47% (

1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.51% (

-1.52)

65.48% (

1.52)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.8% (

1.8)

37.19% (

-1.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.02% (

1.74)

73.98% (

-1.74)

Score Analysis

Perugia 41.43%

Parma 29.77%

Draw 28.78%

Perugia	Draw	Parma
1-0 @ 13.39% ( -0.53) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.62) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.38) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.49% Total : 41.43%	1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.78%	0-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.38) 0-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.48) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.78% Total : 29.77%