Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 51.36%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Reggina in this match.
