Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Como had a probability of 15.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.97%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Perugia	Draw	Como
61.1%	23.61%	15.29%

Both teams to score 41.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.2%

56.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.26%

77.74%

Perugia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.67%

18.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.57%

49.42%

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.82%

49.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.92%

84.08%

Score Analysis

Perugia 61.09%

Como 15.29%

Draw 23.6%

Perugia	Draw	Como
1-0 @ 15.29% 2-0 @ 12.97% 2-1 @ 9.21% 3-0 @ 7.34% 3-1 @ 5.21% 4-0 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.85% 5-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.85% Total : 61.09%	1-1 @ 10.85% 0-0 @ 9.01% 2-2 @ 3.27% Other @ 0.47% Total : 23.6%	0-1 @ 6.4% 1-2 @ 3.85% 0-2 @ 2.27% 1-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.86% Total : 15.29%