Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vicenza win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vicenza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vicenza would win this match.
