SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Montevideo City Torque | 18 | -2 | 19 |
| 12 | Albion | 18 | -13 | 18 |
| 13 | Plaza Colonia | 18 | -1 | 17 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | River Plate | 18 | 4 | 24 |
| 11 | Montevideo City Torque | 18 | -2 | 19 |
| 12 | Albion | 18 | -13 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Albion had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Albion win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Albion | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
27.54% ( -0.39) | 25.56% ( 0.23) | 46.9% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 52.28% ( -0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.83% ( -1.17) | 51.17% ( 1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.99% ( -1.03) | 73.01% ( 1.03) |
| Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.86% ( -0.92) | 33.14% ( 0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.26% ( -1.02) | 69.74% ( 1.03) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.19% ( -0.41) | 21.81% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.97% ( -0.62) | 55.03% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Albion | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 1-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.46% Total : 27.54% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 11% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.62% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.32% Total : 46.9% |
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