SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Plaza Colonia | 18 | -1 | 17 |
| 13 | Rentistas | 17 | -7 | 17 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 18 | -16 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 18 | -16 | 16 |
| 15 | Albion | 17 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 | Cerrito | 18 | -20 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rentistas win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Albion had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rentistas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Albion win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rentistas | Draw | Albion |
40.21% ( -0.58) | 28.32% ( -0.22) | 31.47% ( 0.81) |
| Both teams to score 46.17% ( 0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.06% ( 0.97) | 59.94% ( -0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.81% ( 0.73) | 80.19% ( -0.73) |
| Rentistas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% ( 0.14) | 29.17% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.89% ( 0.17) | 65.11% ( -0.17) |
| Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.19% ( 1.12) | 34.81% ( -1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.46% ( 1.16) | 71.54% ( -1.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rentistas | Draw | Albion |
| 1-0 @ 12.51% ( -0.41) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.59% Total : 40.21% | 1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.38)2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.31% | 0-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.19% Total : 31.46% |
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