SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Defensor Sporting | 24 | 1 | 36 |
| 11 | Montevideo City Torque | 24 | -2 | 26 |
| 12 | Albion | 25 | -15 | 26 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Danubio | 25 | 2 | 36 |
| 10 | Defensor Sporting | 24 | 1 | 36 |
| 11 | Montevideo City Torque | 24 | -2 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
37.01% ( -0.03) | 27.49% ( 0.03) | 35.5% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 49.35% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.68% ( -0.12) | 56.32% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.65% ( -0.1) | 77.35% ( 0.1) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.71% ( -0.08) | 29.29% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.75% ( -0.09) | 65.25% ( 0.09) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.79% ( -0.06) | 30.21% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.63% ( -0.07) | 66.37% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 37% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.51% |
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