SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Albion | 26 | -14 | 29 |
| 12 | Montevideo City Torque | 26 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Plaza Colonia | 26 | -5 | 25 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nacional | 27 | 38 | 59 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 27 | 16 | 50 |
| 3 | Boston River | 27 | 10 | 48 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Nacional |
31.9% ( 0) | 27.39% ( 0) | 40.71% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 48.98% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.52% ( -0.01) | 56.48% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.52% ( -0) | 77.48% ( 0) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.31% ( -0) | 32.69% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.76% ( -0) | 69.23% ( 0) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.76% ( -0) | 27.24% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.34% ( -0) | 62.66% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.24% 2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.7% 3-0 @ 2.08% 3-2 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.9% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.9% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.38% | 0-1 @ 11.57% 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.53% 1-3 @ 3.65% 0-3 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.97% Total : 40.7% |
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