SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
41.45% ( -0.17) | 27.03% ( -0.15) | 31.52% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 49.93% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.79% ( 0.69) | 55.22% ( -0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.55% ( 0.56) | 76.45% ( -0.56) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.75% ( 0.23) | 26.25% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.64% ( 0.3) | 61.36% ( -0.3) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.7% ( 0.59) | 32.3% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.2% ( 0.66) | 68.81% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston River | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 41.45% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.69% Total : 31.52% |
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