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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jul 6, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
vs.
Maldonado

 
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Deportivo Maldonado.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Penarol 1-1 Racing
Sunday, June 16 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 1-3 Fenix
Saturday, June 22 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw has a probability of 25.8% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado has a probability of 18.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it is 0-1 (7.71%).

Result
PenarolDrawDeportivo Maldonado
55.44% (-0.839 -0.84) 25.79% (0.224 0.22) 18.77% (0.615 0.62)
Both teams to score 42.06% (0.377 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.42% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)59.58% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.08% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)79.92% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.38% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)21.62% (0.359 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.27% (-0.553 -0.55)54.73% (0.553 0.55)
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.66% (0.722 0.72)46.34% (-0.722 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.02% (0.55 0.55)81.98% (-0.55000000000001 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 55.43%
    Deportivo Maldonado 18.77%
    Draw 25.78%
PenarolDrawDeportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 15.34% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-0 @ 11.74% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 6% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.3% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 55.43%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 10.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.48% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 7.71% (0.165 0.17)
1-2 @ 4.54% (0.139 0.14)
0-2 @ 2.96% (0.122 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.16% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 18.77%

Form Guide
Last Game: Penarol 1-1 Racing
Sunday, June 16 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 2-0 Penarol
Saturday, June 8 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fenix 0-1 Penarol
Sunday, June 2 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 2-1 Rosario
Tuesday, May 28 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Penarol 3-1 Progreso
Friday, May 24 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 0-2 Penarol
Saturday, May 18 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 1-3 Fenix
Saturday, June 22 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Maldonado
Saturday, June 15 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 0-2 Defensor
Sunday, June 9 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Maldonado
Monday, June 3 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 0-1 Fenix
Sunday, May 26 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 0-2 Nacional
Tuesday, May 21 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division


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