SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 18.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
55.4% ( -0.05) | 25.96% ( 0.17) | 18.65% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 41.46% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.72% ( -0.7) | 60.28% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.55% ( -0.53) | 80.45% ( 0.53) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.07% ( -0.31) | 21.93% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.8% ( -0.47) | 55.2% ( 0.47) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.1% ( -0.56) | 46.9% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.59% ( -0.43) | 82.41% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Penarol | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 15.6% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.75% Total : 55.39% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.47% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.31% Total : 18.65% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
