SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 23 | -17 | 21 |
| 15 | Rentistas | 24 | -20 | 17 |
| 16 | Cerrito | 23 | -29 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Liverpool | 24 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Boston River | 23 | 7 | 41 |
| 4 | Penarol | 23 | 7 | 37 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 53.91%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 19.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.81%) and 1-2 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Cerrito win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerrito | Draw | Boston River |
19.04% ( -0.02) | 27.05% ( -0.04) | 53.91% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 39.45% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.75% ( 0.1) | 63.25% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.35% ( 0.08) | 82.64% ( -0.07) |
| Cerrito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.8% ( 0.04) | 48.2% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.62% ( 0.03) | 83.38% ( -0.02) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.16% ( 0.08) | 23.84% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.98% ( 0.11) | 58.02% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerrito | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 4.39% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 19.04% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 16.47% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 11.81% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 53.9% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
