Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Nacional | 20 | 25 | 41 |
3 | Boston River | 20 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 21 | 4 | 33 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Montevideo City Torque | 21 | -4 | 20 |
13 | Cerro Largo | 20 | -14 | 20 |
14 | Plaza Colonia | 20 | -3 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boston River | Draw | Cerro Largo |
32.72% ( -0.49) | 28.45% ( -0.12) | 38.83% ( 0.61) |
Both teams to score 46.14% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.86% ( 0.33) | 60.14% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.65% ( 0.25) | 80.34% ( -0.25) |
Boston River Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.98% ( -0.17) | 34.02% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.3% ( -0.18) | 70.7% ( 0.18) |
Cerro Largo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.93% ( 0.53) | 30.07% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.79% ( 0.63) | 66.2% ( -0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Boston River | Draw | Cerro Largo |
1-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 32.72% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.23% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.44% | 0-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.37% Total : 38.83% |
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