SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 39.29%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 29.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 2-1 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.68%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Cerro Largo |
39.29% ( 0.04) | 30.78% ( -0.05) | 29.93% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 39.41% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.04% ( 0.16) | 67.96% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.09% ( 0.1) | 85.91% ( -0.1) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.17% ( 0.11) | 33.83% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.51% ( 0.12) | 70.5% ( -0.12) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.55% ( 0.1) | 40.45% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.94% ( 0.09) | 77.06% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 14.83% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( 0)2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 39.29% | 0-0 @ 13.68% ( -0.08) 1-1 @ 13.42% 2-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.78% | 0-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.34% Total : 29.92% |
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