SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 51.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 1-0 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
21.74% ( -0.02) | 26.37% | 51.89% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 44.48% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.44% ( -0.01) | 58.56% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.87% ( -0.01) | 79.13% ( 0.01) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.55% ( -0.02) | 42.45% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.18% ( -0.02) | 78.82% ( 0.02) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.29% ( 0) | 22.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.63% ( 0) | 56.37% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 1-0 @ 8.26% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.25% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.54% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.5% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 1.08% Total : 21.74% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0)Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.36% | 0-1 @ 14.28% 0-2 @ 10.59% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.08% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.23% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.49% 0-4 @ 1.94% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.69% Total : 51.88% |
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