SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 36.56%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Danubio |
35.42% ( 0.48) | 28.02% ( 0.16) | 36.56% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 47.73% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.66% ( -0.58) | 58.34% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.05% ( -0.45) | 78.96% ( 0.46) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.73% ( 0.02) | 31.28% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.37% ( 0.02) | 67.63% ( -0.01) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.45% ( -0.67) | 30.56% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.22% ( -0.81) | 66.79% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.98% Total : 35.41% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.26% Total : 36.56% |
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