SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 35.35%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.22%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Penarol win was 1-0 (12.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
34.98% ( -0.14) | 29.67% ( 0.14) | 35.35% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.04% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.97% ( -0.45) | 64.03% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.79% ( -0.32) | 83.21% ( 0.32) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.48% ( -0.33) | 34.52% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.76% ( -0.36) | 71.24% ( 0.36) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.73% ( -0.23) | 34.27% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.03% ( -0.25) | 70.97% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Penarol | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 1-0 @ 12.58% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.27% Total : 34.98% | 1-1 @ 13.47% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.66% | 0-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.35% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
