SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
38.12% ( -0.02) | 27.08% ( 0.01) | 34.79% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.56% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.23% ( -0.03) | 54.77% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.92% ( -0.02) | 76.08% ( 0.02) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.12% ( -0.03) | 27.88% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.51% ( -0.03) | 63.49% ( 0.03) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.11% ( -0.01) | 29.89% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.01% ( -0.01) | 65.98% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 1-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 38.12% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.08% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.76% 0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.12% 0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0)2-3 @ 2% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.38% Total : 34.79% |
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