SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
33.97% ( -0.37) | 27.49% ( 0.01) | 38.54% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 49.17% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.53% ( -0.09) | 56.47% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.53% ( -0.07) | 77.47% ( 0.07) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.73% ( -0.29) | 31.27% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.37% ( -0.34) | 67.63% ( 0.34) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.55% ( 0.17) | 28.45% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.78% ( 0.21) | 64.21% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.96% Total : 33.97% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.49% | 0-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.8% Total : 38.53% |
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