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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
0 - 0
Plaza Colonia


Baez (42'), Polenta (62'), Rodriguez (74'), Ezequiel Inverso Esnal (82')
FT

Ebere (62'), Paiva (65'), Greising (69'), Ezequiel Inverso Esnal (81'), Ayala (89')
Ayala (90+3')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Plaza Colonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerro Largo 2-2 Nacional
Saturday, August 26 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-1 River Plate
Saturday, August 26 at 5pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 69.53%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 10.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.67%) and 3-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawPlaza Colonia
69.53% (1.882 1.88) 19.87% (-0.731 -0.73) 10.6% (-1.151 -1.15)
Both teams to score 39.36% (-1.486 -1.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.6% (0.104 0.1)52.4% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.92% (0.09 0.09)74.09% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.99% (0.616 0.62)14% (-0.616 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.47% (1.199 1.2)41.54% (-1.197 -1.2)
Plaza Colonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.77% (-2.07 -2.07)54.23% (2.072 2.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.58% (-1.306 -1.31)87.42% (1.309 1.31)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 69.51%
    Plaza Colonia 10.6%
    Draw 19.88%
NacionalDrawPlaza Colonia
1-0 @ 14.92% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 14.67% (0.58 0.58)
3-0 @ 9.62% (0.581 0.58)
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.195 -0.2)
3-1 @ 5.88% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 4.73% (0.382 0.38)
4-1 @ 2.89% (0.065 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.86% (0.188 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 69.51%
1-1 @ 9.14% (-0.408 -0.41)
0-0 @ 7.6% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 2.75% (-0.238 -0.24)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 19.88%
0-1 @ 4.65% (-0.316 -0.32)
1-2 @ 2.8% (-0.31 -0.31)
0-2 @ 1.42% (-0.193 -0.19)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 10.6%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cerro Largo 2-2 Nacional
Saturday, August 26 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 0-0 Nacional
Sunday, August 20 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-2 Nacional (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, August 10 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Boca Juniors
Thursday, August 3 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Cerro Largo
Saturday, July 22 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 0-1 Fenix
Saturday, July 15 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-1 River Plate
Saturday, August 26 at 5pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Maldonado 0-0 Plaza Colonia
Friday, August 18 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 0-0 Plaza Colonia
Monday, July 24 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 2-2 Plaza Colonia
Saturday, July 15 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 1-3 Maldonado
Sunday, July 9 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 4-1 Plaza Colonia
Wednesday, July 5 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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