SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Albion | 19 | -12 | 21 |
| 12 | Montevideo City Torque | 19 | -3 | 19 |
| 13 | Cerro Largo | 19 | -14 | 19 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nacional | 19 | 25 | 40 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 19 | 15 | 39 |
| 3 | Boston River | 19 | 6 | 34 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Liverpool |
43.46% ( 0.84) | 27.1% ( -0.56) | 29.44% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 48.82% ( 1.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.8% ( 1.95) | 56.21% ( -1.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.74% ( 1.56) | 77.26% ( -1.55) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.35% ( 1.34) | 25.65% ( -1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.44% ( 1.78) | 60.56% ( -1.78) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.66% ( 0.83) | 34.34% ( -0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.96% ( 0.88) | 71.04% ( -0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 11.98% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.24)3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.24% Total : 43.45% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.68)2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.5) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.25% Total : 29.44% |
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