SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nacional | 18 | 23 | 37 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 18 | 13 | 36 |
| 3 | Boston River | 18 | 7 | 34 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Plaza Colonia | 18 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Rentistas | 18 | -8 | 17 |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 18 | -16 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Rentistas had a probability of 23.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Rentistas win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Rentistas |
51.76% ( -0.07) | 24.85% ( 0.05) | 23.39% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.62% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.53% ( -0.17) | 51.47% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.72% ( -0.15) | 73.28% ( 0.15) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.12% ( -0.09) | 19.87% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.01% ( -0.15) | 51.98% ( 0.16) |
| Rentistas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.17% ( -0.08) | 36.82% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.39% ( -0.08) | 73.61% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Rentistas |
| 1-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 51.76% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 23.39% |
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