SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
34.44% ( -0.01) | 28.12% ( 0) | 37.44% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.35% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.24% ( -0.01) | 58.76% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.71% ( -0.01) | 79.29% ( 0.01) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.87% ( -0.01) | 32.13% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.39% ( -0.01) | 68.61% ( 0.01) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.78% ( 0) | 30.23% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.61% | 66.39% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 7.49% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.26% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.83% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.37% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 34.43% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 9.71% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0)Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.12% | 0-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.95% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 2.77% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.79% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.33% Total : 37.44% |
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