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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 44.91%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 27.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
44.91% ( -0) | 27.7% ( -0) | 27.38% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.95% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.71% ( 0) | 59.28% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.31% ( 0) | 79.69% ( -0) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.68% | 26.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.55% ( 0) | 61.45% ( -0) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.36% ( 0.01) | 37.64% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.58% ( 0.01) | 74.41% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 13.22% 2-0 @ 8.83% ( -0)2-1 @ 8.62% 3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-1 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.01% Total : 44.91% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 9.91% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0)Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 9.68% 1-2 @ 6.31% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 1.69% Total : 27.38% |
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