Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 69.67%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Rentistas had a probability of 10.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.47%) and 3-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Rentistas win it was 0-1 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.