SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nacional | 24 | 32 | 50 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 24 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Boston River | 23 | 7 | 41 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 23 | -17 | 21 |
| 15 | Rentistas | 23 | -17 | 17 |
| 16 | Cerrito | 23 | -29 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 69.67%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Rentistas had a probability of 10.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.47%) and 3-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Rentistas win it was 0-1 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Rentistas |
69.67% ( -0.12) | 19.66% ( 0.04) | 10.67% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 40.15% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.57% ( 0.08) | 51.43% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.76% ( 0.07) | 73.24% ( -0.06) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.34% ( -0.01) | 13.66% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.16% ( -0.02) | 40.84% ( 0.03) |
| Rentistas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.5% ( 0.21) | 53.5% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.04% ( 0.13) | 86.96% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Rentistas |
| 1-0 @ 14.54% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 14.47% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.99% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 69.66% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.43% Total : 19.66% | 0-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.82% Total : 10.67% |
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