SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Boston River |
33.37% ( 0.56) | 27.93% ( 0.05) | 38.69% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 47.75% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.8% ( -0.08) | 58.2% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.15% ( -0.06) | 78.85% ( 0.07) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.44% ( 0.34) | 32.55% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.91% ( 0.38) | 69.09% ( -0.38) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.8% ( -0.39) | 29.2% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.85% ( -0.49) | 65.15% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.37% | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.93% | 0-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.64% Total : 38.69% |
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