SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Liverpool | 25 | 15 | 47 |
| 3 | Boston River | 24 | 10 | 44 |
| 4 | Penarol | 24 | 8 | 40 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Fenix | 25 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 | River Plate | 24 | 9 | 36 |
| 9 | Defensor Sporting | 24 | 1 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | River Plate |
33.31% ( 0.36) | 28.23% ( -0.01) | 38.46% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 46.89% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.73% ( 0.07) | 59.27% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.32% ( 0.06) | 79.68% ( -0.06) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.85% ( 0.29) | 33.15% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.24% ( 0.31) | 69.76% ( -0.32) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.14% ( -0.17) | 29.86% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.05% ( -0.21) | 65.95% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston River | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.31% | 1-1 @ 13.21% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.23% | 0-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 38.46% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
